Dubai City 2-4 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
51%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubai City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.21/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.69
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubai City
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
24.11.2023 Gulf Heroes 2-1 HT 1-0 Dubai City BAE2
27.01.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-0 HT 1-0 Dubai City BAE2
16.09.2022 Dubai City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
30.01.2022 Dubai City 0-3 HT 0-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
16.10.2021 Gulf Heroes 3-1 HT 1-1 Dubai City BAE2
POST-MATCH Dubai City vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf Heroes beat Dubai City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gulf Heroes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gulf Heroes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Dubai City and 1.80 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Dubai City vs Gulf Heroes?

Dubai City 2-4 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubai City vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gulf Heroes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dubai City 27%, draw 22%, Gulf Heroes 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gulf Heroes) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gulf Heroes) ✗ BTTS No
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