15/04/2024
·
16:55
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Dubai United vs Gulf United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
22%
Draw
24%
28%
Away Win
20%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
55%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dubai United v Gulf United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dubai United
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gulf United
EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
1.74/0.48
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.78/0.61
-9%
/
+127%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
+150%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
4
372 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
271 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
Dubai United vs Gulf United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Dubai United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Gulf United
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
10
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
01.12.2023
Gulf United
1-2
HT 0-0
Dubai United
BAE2
POST-MATCH
Dubai United vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dubai United got the better of Gulf United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dubai United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Dubai United vs Gulf United?
Dubai United 2-0 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Gulf United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 50%, draw 22%, Gulf United 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubai United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Dubai United)
✓ BTTS No
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BAE2
More UAE - 1st Division
15 Apr 2024