Silkeborg IF 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 29% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.78
1/2
10%
22.3
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
11%
8.2
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.43
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.62/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.27
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
13.0 Crosses 20.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
496 Passes 538
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 2-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
20.08.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
05.03.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
21.08.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0-2 HT 0-2 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
21.11.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
03.10.2021 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
0-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.97 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
680 Passes 476
92% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland nicked a narrow win over Silkeborg IF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 58% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 42%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.97 to 1.23 — on chances, Silkeborg IF could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Silkeborg IF and 1.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Silkeborg IF 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 27%, draw 26%, FC Nordsjaelland 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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