Fuerte San Francisco 5-2 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.1pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-9.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
12.02.2024 Platense Platense 3-2 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
02.10.2023 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco swept aside Platense 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fuerte San Francisco found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.33 for Platense.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense?

Fuerte San Francisco 5-2 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 28%, draw 36%, Platense 36%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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