Utrecht II 0-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.42
X/2
16%
5.65
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.8
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.23/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.43
-31% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.2 Crosses 18.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
08.05.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
18.04.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
29.10.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
26.02.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-2
AWAY Den Bosch
0.55 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
358 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch beat Utrecht II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Utrecht II had 55% of the ball to Den Bosch's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.55 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utrecht II and 1.33 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Den Bosch?

Utrecht II 0-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 32%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
15 Apr 2024
21:00 Ajax II vs Cambuur Analysis →