Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal U21 v Aston Villa U21 — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal U21 3-5 Aston Villa U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa U21 got the better of Arsenal U21 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Arsenal U21 had 57% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 43%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.11 to 1.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Arsenal U21.
What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Arsenal U21 3-5 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 46%, draw 21%, Aston Villa U21 34%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U21) went the other way.