Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
58%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-16.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 79%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.07/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/0.52
+119% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +97%
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
177 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 628 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Riteriai at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 44% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Riteriai?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 21%, draw 20%, FK Riteriai 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Riteriai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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