Panevezys II 2-2 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

Panevezys II
2-2 HT 1-1
Hegelmann II
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+7.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panevezys II v Hegelmann II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.78/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Panevezys II 2-2 Hegelmann II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
2-2
AWAY Hegelmann II
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II and Hegelmann II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panevezys II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panevezys II had 56% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 44%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II?

Panevezys II 2-2 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 51%, draw 20%, Hegelmann II 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panevezys II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✓ Over 2.5
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