Al Mokawloon 0-2 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 64%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
0.40/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.61
-63% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
11.9 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pyramids
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.42 xG 1.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 468
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
07.12.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
06.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.03.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.07.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-2 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
15.01.2021 Pyramids Pyramids 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
0-2
AWAY Pyramids
0.99 xG 1.36
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
176 Passes 397
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids got the better of Al Mokawloon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 36% of the ball to Pyramids's 64%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.99 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.67 for Pyramids.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Pyramids?

Al Mokawloon 0-2 Pyramids in the Egypt - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 19%, draw 29%, Pyramids 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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