Caracas FC 2-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.86/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.11
-17% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.8 Crosses 13.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
245 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
19.06.2022 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
29.05.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-2 UCV UCV VEN
09.09.2021 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
25.07.2021 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-2
AWAY UCV
1.08 xG 1.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
172 Passes 346
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC and UCV shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 37% of the ball to UCV's 63%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.08 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caracas FC and 0.83 for UCV.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs UCV?

Caracas FC 2-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 39%, draw 33%, UCV 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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