Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.6pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.93/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.92
-8% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.6 Crosses 15.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
216 Passes 343
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
15.08.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
10.04.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.53 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
334 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Carabobo 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 53% of the ball to Carabobo's 47%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.53 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 44%, draw 33%, Carabobo 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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