Arsenal (K) 5-1 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.6pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.67/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.78
+48% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +42%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
49.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.8 Crosses 11.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.40 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
516 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
43 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.09.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
21.04.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
5-1
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
2.86 xG 0.18
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
686 Passes 243
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
52 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) swept aside Leicester City WFC (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 70% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 30%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.86 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.00 for Leicester City WFC (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Arsenal (K) 5-1 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 67%, draw 23%, Leicester City WFC (K) 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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