Union Espanola 3-0 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
+47% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.3 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nublense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
01.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 5-3 HT 2-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
07.07.2023 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
21.01.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.08.2022 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
22.03.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-0
AWAY Nublense
2.88 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
361 Passes 413
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola cruised past Nublense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 45% of the ball to Nublense's 55%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.88 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Espanola and 0.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Nublense?

Union Espanola 3-0 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 46%, draw 27%, Nublense 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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