Aston Villa vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v PSG — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Aston Villa 3-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa nicked a narrow win over PSG 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was PSG at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Aston Villa had 34% of the ball to PSG's 66%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.05 to 1.52.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs PSG?
Aston Villa 3-2 PSG in the Champions League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs PSG?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 31%, draw 25%, PSG 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.