Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
1.07/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.53
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
313 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Almagro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
07.09.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
20.04.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 3-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
07.05.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
19.11.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-2 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
13.11.2015 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
28.06.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past Almagro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Atlanta as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.50 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro?

Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 51%, draw 27%, Almagro 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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