Atletico Atlanta 3-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -29%
1.19/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
-8% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Almagro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
07.05.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
19.11.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-2 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
13.11.2015 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
28.06.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta cruised past Almagro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Atlanta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.75 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro?

Atletico Atlanta 3-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 43%, draw 32%, Almagro 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
20 Apr 2024
02:10 San Martin Tucuman vs Guillermo Brown Analysis →
21:00 Estudiantes Caseros vs All Boys Analysis →
21:30 Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano Analysis →