San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.5pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.29/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.41
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
06.08.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
01.04.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
27.06.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Guillermo Brown fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Martin Tucuman at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guillermo Brown led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.33 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Guillermo Brown?

San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 60%, draw 25%, Guillermo Brown 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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