Defensores Unidos 3-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
0.92/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.73
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
17.07.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
11.03.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos edged past Defensores De Belgrano 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Defensores Unidos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensores Unidos and 0.50 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Defensores Unidos 3-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 33%, draw 32%, Defensores De Belgrano 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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