Defensa y Justicia 0-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
19%
5.4
X/2
9%
5.94
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
4.49
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.30
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.9 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
279 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
11.03.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
24.10.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
28.07.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
15.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
03.05.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.11 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
328 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia and Union Santa Fe fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 53% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 47%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.11 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.67 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?

Defensa y Justicia 0-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 39%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
15 Apr 2025
00:00 Central Cordoba Santiago vs Huracan Analysis →
03:15 Velez Sarsfield vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →
03:15 Godoy Cruz vs Lanus Analysis →