15/04/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
2-2
HPS vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
22%
Draw
12%
57%
Away Win
80%
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
48%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HPS v KaPa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
HPS
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
KaPa
EU Bookmakers 84%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.00/6.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
5.51/0.50
-100%
/
-47%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+56%
/
+48%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
246 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
525 · 88%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
HPS 0-4 KaPa — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
HPS
0-4
AWAY
KaPa
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
22
2
Shots on Target
8
0
Corners
16
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
HPS vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KaPa swept aside HPS 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KaPa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, HPS had 34% of the ball to KaPa's 66%, shots finished 7-22.
What was the final score of HPS vs KaPa?
HPS 0-4 KaPa in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HPS vs KaPa?
Before kick-off our model rated an KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HPS 21%, draw 22%, KaPa 57%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (KaPa)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FİK
More Finland - Suomen Cup
15 Apr 2025