LPS 1-1 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 15 Apr 2025

LPS
1-1 HT 1-1
PKKU
📅15/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
20%
6.26
Away Pick
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
PKKU win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
8%
+14.0pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.7pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-21.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LPS EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 84%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
0.41/4.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -28%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
216 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH LPS vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LPS and PKKU couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. PKKU carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of LPS vs PKKU?

LPS 1-1 PKKU in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LPS vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated an PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split LPS 22%, draw 21%, PKKU 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PKKU) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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