Spartak Moskova 3-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
75%
-13.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -35%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
454 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ural
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
11.08.2023 Ural Ural 3-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.04.2023 Ural Ural 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
14.03.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUK
04.03.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
06.08.2022 Ural Ural 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-0
AWAY Ural
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova cruised past Ural 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 59% of the ball to Ural's 41%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.33 for Ural.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Ural?

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Ural in the Russia - Super Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 61%, draw 17%, Ural 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5
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