Kitara 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.85/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.75
+64% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +96%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Lugazi Municipal 0-3 HT 0-2 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara and Lugazi Municipal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kitara had 59% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 41%, shots finished 7-4.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Lugazi Municipal?

Kitara 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kitara 52%, draw 21%, Lugazi Municipal 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kitara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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