Al Raed 0-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.0pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 31%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.00/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.31
-34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD1
19.04.2025 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
23.11.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
21.02.2015 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
30.08.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
30.01.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Raed and 0.67 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Orubah?

Al Raed 0-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 48%, draw 26%, Al Orubah 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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