Al Raed 3-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.7
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.79
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
15.7 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21.02.2015 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
30.08.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
30.01.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
3-1
AWAY Al Orubah
0.65 xG 0.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
393 Passes 430
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed beat Al Orubah 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Raed as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Raed had 47% of the ball to Al Orubah's 53%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Raed and 1.00 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Orubah?

Al Raed 3-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 44%, draw 27%, Al Orubah 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Raed), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Nov 2024
18:15 Al Wehda vs Al Taawon Analysis →
20:00 Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →