Al Khaleej 3-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Nov 2024

Al Khaleej
3-2 HT 1-2
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-13.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Khaleej v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 75%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
0.84/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.80
-45% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 85%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.4
13.7 Crosses 22.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.70 xG 2.93
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
205 Passes 490
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
20.10.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
01.04.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
25.08.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.02.2017 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
21.11.2015 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 7-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD

Al Khaleej 3-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
3-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
2.17 xG 1.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
252 Passes 499
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej edged past Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Hilal Riyadh at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 36% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 64%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.17 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Al Khaleej and 3.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Khaleej 3-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 20%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Riyadh 57%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5
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