Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Apr 2024

Al Khaleej
1-4 HT 1-2
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
60%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.76
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
60%
Away Win
74%
-13.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Khaleej v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 78%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +5%
0.95/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.85
-30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 86%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
14.2 Crosses 24.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.66 xG 2.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
199 Passes 495
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
01.04.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
25.08.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.02.2017 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
21.11.2015 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 7-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
19.09.2014 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD

Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-4
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.82 xG 5.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
236 Passes 461
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 57
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Khaleej 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.82 to 5.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Khaleej and 3.17 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 19%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5
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