Damac FC 0-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.26/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.39
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
20.2 Crosses 24.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
10.09.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
08.01.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
13.08.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-1 HT 3-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
09.04.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Nassr
0.13 xG 1.80
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
274 Passes 570
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr nicked a narrow win over Damac FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 34% of the ball to Al Nassr's 66%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.13 to 1.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Damac FC and 2.50 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Nassr?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 33%, draw 24%, Al Nassr 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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