Al Wehda 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.96/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.15
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
20.8 Crosses 21.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.02.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
22.10.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.02.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
18.01.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
14.09.2019 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.27 xG 1.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 15
125 Passes 412
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 46
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Ahli Jeddah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Al Wehda had 27% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 73%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.27 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wehda and 1.83 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Wehda 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 27%, draw 20%, Al Ahli Jeddah 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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