Al Wehda 1-0 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 52%
-29% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.15/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.93
+19% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.3 Crosses 20.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.85 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-3 HT 2-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
02.09.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.03.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
06.10.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
22.02.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-0
AWAY Al Taawon
1.87 xG 1.38
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
197 Passes 482
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 34
4 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda squeezed past Al Taawon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Al Wehda made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 32% of the ball to Al Taawon's 68%, shots finished 13-29, expected goals 1.87 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Wehda and 2.33 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Taawon?

Al Wehda 1-0 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 36%, draw 24%, Al Taawon 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Taawon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5
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