Al Wehda 3-3 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.13/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.18
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.7 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
02.09.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.03.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
06.10.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
22.02.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
24.11.2020 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
3-3
AWAY Al Taawon
1.95 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Taawon couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Taawon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 42% of the ball to Al Taawon's 58%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.95 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Wehda and 2.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Taawon?

Al Wehda 3-3 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 31%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Taawon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
29 Feb 2024
17:00 Al Raed vs Al Fayha Analysis →
20:00 Al Nassr vs Al Hazm Analysis →