Al Raed 1-2 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
14%
17.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 22% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -12%
1.68/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.8 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fayha
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
14.01.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
05.03.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
16.10.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
28.02.2020 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-2
AWAY Al Fayha
0.93 xG 1.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
305 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha edged past Al Raed 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Raed had 46% of the ball to Al Fayha's 54%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.93 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Raed and 1.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Fayha?

Al Raed 1-2 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 41%, draw 27%, Al Fayha 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Raed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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