Al Nassr vs Al Hazm Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Hazm — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Hazm Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-4
HT 0-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-0
Al Hazm
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-1
Al Hazm
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 4-4 Al Hazm — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr and Al Hazm couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nassr at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Al Nassr had 69% of the ball to Al Hazm's 31%, shots finished 26-14, expected goals 3.93 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Nassr and 0.67 for Al Hazm.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Hazm?
Al Nassr 4-4 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Hazm?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 61%, draw 21%, Al Hazm 17%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No went the other way.