Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.88
2-3 Goals
42%
2.17
4-5 Goals
24%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 50%
+21% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.75/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.30
+46% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
17.3 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chelsea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.73 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
437 Passes 379
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 3-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.09.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNLK
23.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 4-3 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZPL
15.04.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
29.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-1 HT 3-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
18.01.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2
AWAY Chelsea
1.27 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
503 Passes 430
91% Pass Accuracy 91%
39 Box Touches 26
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 55% of the ball to Chelsea's 45%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.27 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.83 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 30%, draw 24%, Chelsea 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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15 May 2024
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