Zürich 2-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.04
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.94
X/2
9%
5.23
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
22%
3.38
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.32/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.28
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.2 Crosses 21.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
263 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
04.11.2023 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
29.07.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
26.04.2023 Servette Servette 4-0 HT 2-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.03.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
13.11.2022 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
2-1
AWAY Servette
0.84 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
400 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich squeezed past Servette 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Zürich made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zürich had 59% of the ball to Servette's 41%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.84 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zürich and 1.67 for Servette.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Servette?

Zürich 2-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zürich 36%, draw 27%, Servette 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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