Lausanne Sports 0-2 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
31.5
1/X
11%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.82
X/2
12%
7.74
X/X
7%
5.75
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
12%
4.92
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 10% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.66/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.52
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.6 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.01.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.05.2022 Luzern Luzern 3-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.02.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
31.10.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
0-2
AWAY Luzern
1.50 xG 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
438 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern beat Lausanne Sports 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 53% of the ball to Luzern's 47%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.50 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Lausanne Sports 0-2 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 42%, draw 24%, Luzern 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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