Luzern 2-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

Luzern
2-1 HT 0-1
Lausanne Sports
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Luzern vs Lausanne Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.78
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
8%
6.97
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.67
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luzern v Lausanne Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.1 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Luzern vs Lausanne Sports Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.05.2022 Luzern Luzern 3-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.02.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
31.10.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
29.08.2021 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
21.04.2021 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV

Luzern 2-1 Lausanne Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
2-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.05 xG 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
239 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern nicked a narrow win over Lausanne Sports 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Luzern had 47% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 53%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.05 to 1.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lausanne Sports.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luzern and 1.00 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Luzern 2-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Luzern 44%, draw 27%, Lausanne Sports 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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