KA Akureyri 3-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vestri
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
362 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri saw off Vestri 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

KA Akureyri 3-1 Vestri in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 48%, draw 24%, Vestri 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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