KA Akureyri 0-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
62%
-3.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.66/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.12
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.3 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
0-1
AWAY Vestri
0.74 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
362 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri edged past KA Akureyri 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. KA Akureyri carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 57% of the ball to Vestri's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.74 to 0.97.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

KA Akureyri 0-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 59%, draw 20%, Vestri 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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