Vikingur R. 4-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.16
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.03 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
27.08.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-3 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
02.06.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 2-2 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
15.08.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.05.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 0-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
4-1
AWAY Breidablik
2.09 xG 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
345 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. cruised past Breidablik 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 52% of the ball to Breidablik's 48%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 2.17 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Breidablik?

Vikingur R. 4-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 46%, draw 24%, Breidablik 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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