İA Akranes 5-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Apr 2024

İA Akranes
5-1 HT 1-0
Fylkir
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

İA Akranes vs Fylkir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
44%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
31%
+13.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v Fylkir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
2.01/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.55
+4% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
– Crosses 16.1
– Yellow Cards 2.2

İA Akranes vs Fylkir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fylkir
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.09.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
20.06.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.08.2020 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
06.07.2019 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
05.05.2019 Fylkir Fylkir 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
22.08.2016 Fylkir Fylkir 0-3 HT 0-2 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL

İA Akranes 5-1 Fylkir — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
5-1
AWAY Fylkir
2.54 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
338 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes ran out comfortable winners over Fylkir 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, İA Akranes had 50% of the ball to Fylkir's 50%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.54 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for İA Akranes and 1.17 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Fylkir?

İA Akranes 5-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 35%, draw 21%, Fylkir 44%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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