Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 21%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +76% / +76%
2.14/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+127% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
16.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
07.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2-3
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 65% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 35%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.67 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - Cup on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 47%, draw 29%, Botev Plovdiv 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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