Madura United 1-0 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 May 2024

Madura United
1-0 HT 0-0
Borneo FC
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Madura United vs Borneo FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v Borneo FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.07/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Madura United vs Borneo FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 346
The Meetings
17.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
14.12.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-2 HT 2-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
18.09.2019 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United nicked a narrow win over Borneo FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madura United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Madura United and 1.40 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Borneo FC?

Madura United 1-0 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Madura United 36%, draw 32%, Borneo FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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