Borneo FC 0-4 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Apr 2024

Borneo FC
0-4 HT 0-1
Madura United
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Borneo FC vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borneo FC v Madura United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.84/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.03
+27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Borneo FC vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Madura United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 384
The Meetings
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
14.12.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-2 HT 2-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
18.09.2019 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United ran out comfortable winners over Borneo FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Madura United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Borneo FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Borneo FC and 1.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Borneo FC 0-4 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 42%, draw 21%, Madura United 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Borneo FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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