Cilegon United 1-1 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cilegon United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 34%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.49/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.41
+80% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cilegon United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Barito Putera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
316 Passes 323
14.02.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 4-1 HT 2-0 Cilegon United Cilegon United ENDL1
29.08.2022 Cilegon United Cilegon United 2-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
POST-MATCH Cilegon United vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cilegon United and Barito Putera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cilegon United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cilegon United and 2.50 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of Cilegon United vs Barito Putera?

Cilegon United 1-1 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cilegon United vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cilegon United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cilegon United 42%, draw 28%, Barito Putera 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cilegon United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cilegon United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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