Kowloon City 2-0 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.5pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.98
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kowloon City
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Citizen AA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-1 HT 0-1 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
02.04.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 3-0 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kowloon City
2-0
AWAY Citizen AA
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City beat Citizen AA 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kowloon City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kowloon City had 65% of the ball to Citizen AA's 35%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kowloon City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kowloon City and 0.00 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs Citizen AA?

Kowloon City 2-0 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 56%, draw 21%, Citizen AA 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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