Paksi SE 2-0 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 15 May 2024

Paksi SE
2-0 HT 0-0
Ferencvaros
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - Cup – 2023/2024

Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
8%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.11 xG 2.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
170 Passes 432
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
10.12.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 6-1 HT 6-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
08.04.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.02.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-3 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
09.11.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-2 HT 2-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC

Paksi SE 2-0 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-0
AWAY Ferencvaros
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE got the better of Ferencvaros 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 35% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 65%, shots finished 13-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paksi SE and 2.83 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Paksi SE 2-0 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - Cup on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 21%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 54%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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