North Carolina 2-0 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 28%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -11%
1.67/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.58
-18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.6 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.67 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-1 HT 1-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
06.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina ABDK
01.09.2019 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-0 HT 2-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
18.07.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 3-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
2-0
AWAY Loudoun United
2.27 xG 0.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
278 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina saw off Loudoun United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, North Carolina had 44% of the ball to Loudoun United's 56%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.27 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for North Carolina and 2.25 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

North Carolina 2-0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 46%, draw 26%, Loudoun United 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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