Loudoun United vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
North Carolina
ABDK
4-0
HT 2-0
North Carolina
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
Loudoun United 3-1 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United saw off North Carolina 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was North Carolina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Loudoun United had 52% of the ball to North Carolina's 48%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured North Carolina.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Loudoun United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loudoun United and 1.33 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs North Carolina?
Loudoun United 3-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 33%, draw 24%, North Carolina 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (North Carolina) went the other way.