El Paso Locomotive vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past El Paso Locomotive 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Louisville City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 55% of the ball to Louisville City's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.02 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.50 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Louisville City?
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 37%, draw 27%, Louisville City 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.